Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000158 0.000175 0.000193 0.000214 0.000238 0.000263 0.000294
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000141 0.000168 0.000201 0.000242 0.000290 0.000354
2025-04-20 0.000100 0.000126 0.000158 0.000201 0.000257 0.000329 0.000430
2025-04-27 0.000089 0.000117 0.000154 0.000205 0.000276 0.000373 0.000518
2025-05-04 0.000079 0.000108 0.000147 0.000204 0.000287 0.000407 0.000594
2025-05-11 0.000072 0.000102 0.000143 0.000206 0.000302 0.000445 0.000684
2025-05-18 0.000066 0.000095 0.000137 0.000204 0.000310 0.000476 0.000764
2025-05-25 0.000060 0.000089 0.000132 0.000203 0.000318 0.000506 0.000847
2025-06-01 0.000055 0.000084 0.000127 0.000200 0.000324 0.000532 0.000925
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000077 0.000120 0.000193 0.000321 0.000544 0.000980
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000075 0.000118 0.000195 0.000334 0.000585 0.001095
2025-06-22 0.000045 0.000073 0.000118 0.000200 0.000352 0.000635 0.001236
2025-06-29 0.000042 0.000068 0.000112 0.000195 0.000352 0.000653 0.001319
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000185 0.000342 0.000653 0.001363
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000059 0.000102 0.000185 0.000352 0.000694 0.001508
2025-07-20 0.000034 0.000058 0.000101 0.000189 0.000369 0.000752 0.001703
2025-07-27 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000188 0.000377 0.000791 0.001858
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000054 0.000098 0.000189 0.000390 0.000844 0.002060
2025-08-10 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000188 0.000397 0.000882 0.002231
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000049 0.000093 0.000187 0.000403 0.000920 0.002410
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000184 0.000406 0.000951 0.002577
2025-08-31 0.000024 0.000044 0.000085 0.000178 0.000400 0.000957 0.002671
2025-09-07 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000180 0.000414 0.001019 0.002951